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 Weather balloons, forecasts, and Spanish plumes.

8/23/2015

6 Comments

 
PictureBalloon - MorgueFile
 In the UK, the Met Office regrets to say it has lost its BBC weather forecasting contract.

The UK's weather service has provided the data used for BBC forecasts since the corporation's first radio weather bulletin in November 1922.

How different those early forecasts must have been, with their lack of modern technology. 



Perhaps they relied on observing the office cat washing its ears, rain gauges, ship weather bulletins and the expected climate for the time of year.

The BBC said it was legally required to secure the best value for money for licence fee payers and would tender the contract to outside competition.

I can just see other organizations gearing up their sales pitch to replace the existing company next year.

And yet, do any weather forecasters get it right?

Here in England, crews have attended 35 incidents of flash flooding in North Yorkshire. Storms, flooding and thunder have created extreme weather from the 'Spanish Plume'.

But outside my window further south in Hertfordshire, the sun's heat warms me.

It must be so hard to predict what the weather will do from one day to the next as, all over the world, the weather has gone wild.


PictureForest fire - MorgueFile
 National Geographic says: 

Rains that are almost biblical, heat waves that don’t end, tornadoes that strike in savage swarms—there’s been a change in the weather lately. What’s going on?

The Economist asks: 

Is the problem global warming or just the weather?

Blaming the weather on climate change might seem straightforward. The two are so closely related that the climate can be defined as the average daily weather over a long period.


Climate is what you expect; weather is what you get. 

- Edward Lorenz, mathematician and meteorologist.



Any thoughts on the weather?
6 Comments
Alana link
8/22/2015 11:53:04 pm

The weather has a science fiction type feel. I look at the sky, and see different cloud formations than I have ever seen. Right now it feels like late September outside - not just the temperature, just the "feel" of being outside. Nothing seems right. Some wildflowers aren't blooming at the right time (goldenrod blooming weeks ahead of normal?) Nothing is in balance.

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Nick #thisyearinmusic link
8/23/2015 01:46:49 am

I wonder if the new company will try and make a good impression on the public by saying the weather will be slightly better than the MET?

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Anamika Agnihotri link
8/23/2015 03:29:46 am

It is far more difficult to predict weather in India. When rain is predicted, it might be the case that it rains in only one small part of the city and not the whole city. And the met dept will say - See we forecasted rain. We say - Oh yes.

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Mark link
8/23/2015 05:23:11 am

In this ever competing market, it seems nothing is fixed. The BBC will still give out the Mets warnings but will this loss of contract mean the Met themselves face issues? Climate change clearly makes it difficult to predict. It reminds me of a few sci-fi based stories that try to both predict and control with often bad results, mainly for story effect.

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Salma link
8/23/2015 02:00:27 pm

That's very interesting. Weather is something everyone will talk about, always. It's always current and if gives you something to say, or complain about, when the forecast is wrong :)

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Corinne Rodrigues link
8/23/2015 04:22:57 pm

Wonder if the BBC plans to send its own satellite up to get 'personalized' weather reports!
Like Anamika said, in India, we don't rely too much on them! ;)

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    Francene Stanley
    From England, I use news items in my novels which you can see below, all linked to an Amazon near you.

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